Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#63
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#41
Pace70.9#65
Improvement-1.9#259

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#63
Improvement-2.5#303

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#63
Improvement+0.5#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four29.9% n/a n/a
First Round43.0% n/a n/a
Second Round13.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 174   Montana W 83-66 85%     1 - 0 +13.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 21, 2014 80   Georgia St. W 80-70 67%     2 - 0 +13.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Nov 23, 2014 179   Mercer W 75-62 86%     3 - 0 +9.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2014 246   Missouri St. W 76-61 87%     4 - 0 +10.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Nov 28, 2014 217   Pacific W 75-64 83%     5 - 0 +8.1 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 29, 2014 109   UC Santa Barbara W 65-63 64%     6 - 0 +5.7 +1.9 +1.9
  Dec 03, 2014 99   UTEP W 65-62 72%     7 - 0 +4.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 07, 2014 257   Northern Colorado W 66-58 92%     8 - 0 -0.2 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 10, 2014 83   @ Colorado W 62-60 46%     9 - 0 +10.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 19, 2014 220   @ Denver W 85-84 77%     10 - 0 +0.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Dec 22, 2014 204   Charleston Southern W 75-54 88%     11 - 0 +16.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 27, 2014 113   @ New Mexico St. W 58-57 OT 54%     12 - 0 +7.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Dec 31, 2014 51   Boise St. W 71-65 55%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +12.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 03, 2015 141   @ New Mexico L 53-66 61%     13 - 1 1 - 1 -8.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2015 112   Wyoming L 54-60 74%     13 - 2 1 - 2 -5.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 10, 2015 194   @ Air Force W 92-87 73%     14 - 2 2 - 2 +6.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 14, 2015 259   Nevada W 98-42 92%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +47.7 -4.1 -4.1
  Jan 17, 2015 346   @ San Jose St. W 70-41 96%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +16.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 24, 2015 42   San Diego St. W 79-73 52%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +13.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 27, 2015 51   @ Boise St. L 78-82 33%     17 - 3 5 - 3 +8.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 31, 2015 189   Fresno St. W 80-57 86%     18 - 3 6 - 3 +18.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 04, 2015 112   @ Wyoming L 48-59 54%     18 - 4 6 - 4 -4.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 07, 2015 97   UNLV W 83-82 72%     19 - 4 7 - 4 +2.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 10, 2015 141   New Mexico W 70-59 79%     20 - 4 8 - 4 +9.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 14, 2015 42   @ San Diego St. L 63-72 31%     20 - 5 8 - 5 +3.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 18, 2015 189   @ Fresno St. W 81-73 72%     21 - 5 9 - 5 +9.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 21, 2015 194   Air Force W 66-53 87%     22 - 5 10 - 5 +8.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2015 346   San Jose St. W 72-56 98%     23 - 5 11 - 5 -2.3 -9.1 -9.1
  Mar 04, 2015 259   @ Nevada W 78-62 83%     24 - 5 12 - 5 +13.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Mar 07, 2015 122   @ Utah St. W 75-70 57%     25 - 5 13 - 5 +10.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Mar 12, 2015 189   Fresno St. W 71-59 80%     26 - 5 +10.5 -0.7 -0.7
  Mar 13, 2015 42   San Diego St. L 43-56 41%     26 - 6 -3.2 +4.9 +4.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 60.5% 60.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 13.8 37.3 7.4 0.0 39.5 60.5%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 60.5% 0.0% 60.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 13.8 37.3 7.4 0.0 39.5 60.5%